JayShah BoxOffice Column – Final Collections for Housefull 4
- Using Film Information data
- To arrive at current week collections I take previous week and compare with current week to arrive at a weekly % drop
- I then take my prior week estimate and multiply by the % drop
- Current week collections = Prior week * % drop (based on like for like centres) * % cinemas drop
- % cinemas drop is the reported # of cinemas from Film Information – it adds a parameter for size of release for the same film
- # of Cinemas shouldn’t be confused with screen size as the former is independent variable for a movie whereas latter is something for comparing with other movies
I re-adjusted Week 2 for HF4 down to 48Cr from 49Cr as Ahmedabad cinema count in Week 1 should be 31 cinemas and not 15 – so FI data was inconsistent here as Week 2/3 = 31 cinemas and Week 4 = 20 cinemas.
My final numbers for HF4 are 194Cr and this is in line with Bollywoodhungama. I did not see it too necessary to investigate other sources as Addatoday followed Taran initially, then probably BOI. Kadel/Jaiswal basically stopped.
@194Cr I’d call it a hit, given the negativity around it’s collections it sustained well enough to have 3 solid weeks at the box office.
December 24, 2019 at 11:03 AM
Munna, I can see the table on my phone but not on laptop?
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December 24, 2019 at 11:06 AM
Can see the complete tables in safari.
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December 24, 2019 at 11:13 AM
Thanks. This was very quick exercise before Dabangg 3.
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December 24, 2019 at 11:04 AM
Thanks Jay.
I think even Bharat and Mission Mangal didnt cross 200 cr nett, except for producer figures. All would be in 190-200 cr range.
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December 25, 2019 at 12:22 AM
In HF4’s first week, there is a discrepancy of 13 cr between producer figure (141 cr) and Jay’s estimate of 128 cr.
Expecting similar extent of inflation in Dabangg 3’s first week numbers too.
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December 25, 2019 at 9:34 AM
HF4’s final numbers are within acceptable range to media accepted 205-208 Cr.
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December 25, 2019 at 5:20 PM
I removed table and added screenshot of table. Let me know if snapshot has all data.
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December 26, 2019 at 1:36 AM
Yes thanks.
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